Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Newbury notes - Thursday

On Racing Post ratings Over Sixty looks well clear of his rivals in the opener but he's been racing solely over the minimum trip, a comment that applies to several of them. Connections are aiming quite high with Tara Two Hills who was withdrawn from a Class 4 race at Exeter a couple of weeks ago on account of heavy going. She wears a tongue-strap (which I'm wary of on soft ground) but this mare is well-regarded by her trainer.

The beginners' chase (12.55) looks between Straw Bear and Pasco. I'm not a Straw Bear fan; his jumping hasn't impressed so far.

Although only six go to post, the novice chase (2.05) is a hot affair. Tartak has been talked up but this is his stiffest task to date and his first try over three miles. For those looking to oppose, Paul Nicholls' The Tother One looks the percentage call but on ratings Gone To Lunch is bang there and at 4/1 with McCoy in the plate he represents a value play. I'd expect a bold show from Hold Em but I suspect better ground would suit.

Nedd Ludd can be a bit hit and miss but he has come back from the summer break in good form. Priced up at 5/1 he's certainly worth a second look in the 3.15.

Over at Taunton Deep Purple features in the 1.40. Now, I'm not one to tell trainers where to run their charges, but sending any novice to Wetherby for their first try over fences has its risks. Last time out Deep Purple met plenty of trouble in running over those stiff Wetherby obstacles. Taunton should prove less testing, but in the Weekender published today Evan Williams says 'I think by the time we get to the spring he should be worth following'. Hint taken. The Racing Post predict 13/2 Mr Watzisname which is tempting.

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