Friday, November 02, 2012

Wetherby selections

The highlight on tomorrow's Wetherby card is the Charlie Hall Chase (3.25) with the world and his wife apparently tipping Paul Nicholls' Silviniaco Conti. The handler indicates it's not easy to judge how far forward his charge is but the market has something of a lop-sided look with the Nicholls horse quoted at 5/4 in most places. This hasn't been the best race for favourites in the past decade with just two obliging (Ollie Magern in 2005 and State Of Play in 2008) and on top of that I've always thought this gelding better at around two and a half miles. His record in chases at three miles or more is one win from three attempts (at Aintree); he weakened markedly up Ascot's stiff finish behind Invictus in the Reynoldstown last February although the yard wasn't firing at the time. I'm going to oppose on grounds of value. Of the others Time For Rupert ran second in last year's renewal but doesn't have the beating of Midnight Chase on official ratings. Philip Hobbs' Planet Of Sound is best in at the weights but I've had my fingers burned with this one before. The yard has been in reasonable form of late - Hobbs trained the first three home in Chepstow's Silver Trophy last weekend so at 11/2 in places Planet Of Sound is put up as a value alternative to Silviniaco Conti. The more cautious could back both Time For Rupert (9/2) and Planet Of Sound (11/2) and avail themselves of a better price than is currently available about the favourite.

Restless Harry took last year's renewal of the John Smith's Hurdle (2.50) but looks to face a stiff task giving weight to all his rivals. In the past he hasn't always been the best of travellers so, if you're considering a wager, it would be worth checking how he has taken the preliminaries. Fair Along is another previous winner in the field while on ratings the 11 year-old Tidal Bay should come home in front. An intriguing race for sure with Smad Place being given every respect, but Cape Tribulation's second in a York handicap three weeks ago may mean he has a fitness edge over his opponents - Cape Tribulation (7/2 Betfred) is the selection.

The mares' listed hurdle (2.15) looks a close call between Une Artiste, Alasi and Baby Shine; the last named receives eight pounds from the other two and get the nod.

Overturn, second in the Champion Hurdle in March and as tough as old boots, makes his chase debut in the opener. He'll be long odds on but he isn't the biggest and the fences here are jolly stiff - not the ideal introduction to novice chasing...

Finally over at Ascot some interesting sorts go in the novices' hurdle (2.00) including a couple with form on the Flat - Andrew Balding's Chilberta King and Petara Bay, once owned by Bernie Ecclestone. Preference is for My Tent Or Yours whose second behind The New One at Aintree in April reads well.

3 comments:

GeeDee said...

No joy at Wetherby...

Silviniaco Conti (11/10f) stepped up to the plate to take the Charlie Hall in some style - he's now as low as 10/1 with Ladbrokes for the Cheltenham Gold Cup. Planet Of Sound (5/1) was tapped for toe coming round the home turn finishing a well beaten fifth.

Plenty of money for Smad Place in the John Smith's Hurdle - he was sent off the 10/11 favourite. Selection Cape Tribulation (9/2) led to the home turn but was outpaced thereafter coming home in fifth - the race developed between Crack Away Jack and Tidal Bay (9/2) with the latter prevailing by four and a half lengths.

Money too for Baby Shine (6/4f) in the mares' hurdle that was run at a dawdling pace. The selection weakened up the home straight to come home fourth behind market rival Une Artiste (13/8).

Over at Ascot My Tent Or Yours (4/7f) obliged but he pulled hard in the early stages and had to work hard enough to see off Taquin Du Seuil at the business end.

mully1 said...

Hope you are keeping well PG!

GeeDee said...

Hi Mully!

Keeping well, just not picking the winners. Same old story... ;)