tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post8744425996827177204..comments2024-03-24T15:26:37.931+00:00Comments on PG's Tips: Cheltenham Festival 2018 - WednesdayGeeDeehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-54068960027924168232018-03-18T15:23:42.211+00:002018-03-18T15:23:42.211+00:00Presenting Percy (5/2f) win the RSA Chase (2.10)
...Presenting Percy (5/2f) win the RSA Chase (2.10)<br /><br />Burbank (18/1) finished seventh, seven lengths behind winner Bleu Berry in the Coral Cup (2.50).<br /><br />Ordinary World (40/1) crept into contention three out in the Champion Chase (3.30) but was quickly tapped for toe off the home bend and finished fifth, some 35 lengths behind winner Altior.<br /><br />Oxford Blu (14/1) was pulled up in the Fred Winter (4.50) which went to Veneer Of Charm (33/1).GeeDeehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-37022003986101932732018-03-13T22:05:40.980+00:002018-03-13T22:05:40.980+00:00Thanks again for your ratings, TW. I noted the rat...Thanks again for your ratings, TW. I noted the ratings looking good for the Mares' Hurdle, the four miler (top-rated Rathvinden won, Ms Parfois, rated third, second) and the finale (Mr Whitaker rated second beat Rather Be rated fourth). <br /><br />PG.GeeDeehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-13124176429027731282018-03-13T19:46:22.914+00:002018-03-13T19:46:22.914+00:006PTS down after Day 1 without ever getting close, ...6PTS down after Day 1 without ever getting close, on to Day 2<br /><br />Assumed Going: Soft<br /><br />1:30 Ballymore Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Registered As The Baring Bingham) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m5f<br />RTG Horse WC ODDS<br />176 SAMCRO(IRE) 33.01 3.05<br />164 NEXT DESTINATION(IRE) 14.54 7<br />167 DUC DES GENIEVRES(FR) 11.94 8.4<br />148 BLACK OP(IRE) 6.98 14.5<br />144 DIABLO DE ROUHET(FR) 5.2 19.5<br />144 BRAHMA BULL(IRE) 4.6 22<br />166 VISION DES FLOS(FR) 3.83 27<br /><br />Samcro certainly deserves to be favourite but too short for me. Twice raced Duc Des Genievres will enjoy going back up trip and the ground should suit, 14/1 EW looks a fair bet.<br /><br />Bet(s): 0.5PT EW Duc Des Genievres 14/1<br /><br />2:10 RSA Insurance Novices' Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m½f <br />RTG Horse WC ODDS<br />177 BLACK CORTON(FR) 28.83 3.5<br />177 PRESENTING PERCY(GB) 17 5.9<br />175 ELEGANT ESCAPE(IRE) 15.16 6.6<br />170 AL BOUM PHOTO(FR) 10.38 9.8<br />171 MONALEE(IRE) 9.63 10.5<br /><br />Elegant Escape looks the one out line price wise. Closely matched with Black Corton EE might just cope with the ground that bit better and there looks a bit of value at 11/1 EW<br /><br />Bet(s): 1PT EW Elegant Escape 11/1<br /><br />2:50 Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m5f<br />RTG Horse WC ODDS<br />170 RIVER FROST(GB) 7.87 13<br />165 RED INDIAN(GB) 7.06 14.5<br />166 SPRINGTOWN LAKE(IRE) 6.65 15.5<br />164 WILLIAM HENRY(IRE) 5.88 17<br />166 C'EST JERSEY(FR) 5.88 17<br />166 GRACEFUL LEGEND(GB) 5.69 18<br />163 MOUNT MEWS(IRE) 5.5 18.5<br />162 MISCHIEVIOUS MAX(IRE) 5.28 19<br />164 VOIX DU REVE(FR) 4.28 24<br />164 JEANNOT DE NONANT(FR) 4.25 24<br />164 BURBANK(IRE) 3.94 26<br /><br />River Frost tops the system output but he’s got a red flag next to him regarding the ground, so he’s overlooked. Two possible value options are Springtown Lake (25/1) and C’est Jersey (33/1). The latter is back over hurdles and the blinkers are re-applied (won only other time he wore them).<br /><br />Bet(s): 0.5PT EW C’est Jersey 33/1<br /><br />3:30 Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m <br />RTG Horse WC ODDS<br />187 ALTIOR(IRE) 35.15 2.86<br />183 MIN(FR) 28.34 3.55<br />178 DOUVAN(FR) 14.93 6.8<br />177 POLITOLOGUE(FR) 7.78 13<br />174 AR MAD(FR) 3.66 28<br />175 SPECIAL TIARA(GB) 3.06 34<br />172 CHARBEL(IRE) 2.65 38<br />157 ORDINARY WORLD(IRE) 2.42 42<br />172 GOD'S OWN(IRE) 2.02 50<br /><br />Altior tops the ratings but is perhaps a bit shorter than he should be in the betting, Douvan has not been seen since finishing down the field in last year’s renewal so I’ll take a chance on Min at 4/1. The system has Ordinary World at 42.0 so odds of 81.0 does represent value!<br /><br />Bet(s): 1 PT Win Min 4/1<br /><br />4:10 Glenfarclas Chase (A Cross Country Chase) Cl2 (5yo+) 3m6f <br />A race I always watch and enjoy but no real interest from a betting perspective though the 13/2 about The Last Samuri (top BHA, top RPR and top speed rating) might look a snip post race.<br /><br />4:50 Boodles Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 (4yo) 2m½f <br />RTG Horse WC ODDS<br />160 ERAGON DE CHANAY(FR) 19.04 5.3<br />157 THE KING OF MAY(FR) 12.59 8<br />145 NUBE NEGRA(SPA) 6.62 15.5<br />136 LISP(IRE) 5.26 19<br />150 STYLE DE GARDE(FR) 4.61 22<br />148 ACT OF VALOUR(GB) 4.42 23<br />154 MERCENAIRE(FR) 4.34 24<br />153 GRAND SANCY(FR) 4 26<br />147 MITCHOUKA(FR) 3.93 26<br />146 OXFORD BLU(GB) 3.91 26<br /><br />This might come too soon for top rated Eragon De Chanay so I’ll sit the race out.<br /><br />Enjoy the day<br /><br />TWAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-47742638564335479052018-03-13T08:20:00.029+00:002018-03-13T08:20:00.029+00:00Hopeful rather than confident, Sandracer... ;)Hopeful rather than confident, Sandracer... ;)GeeDeehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-87455136966408289252018-03-13T00:05:57.749+00:002018-03-13T00:05:57.749+00:00OK you beat me. At 80's Ordinary World I will ...OK you beat me. At 80's Ordinary World I will play each way haha... cheersSandracerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16542766586047796267noreply@blogger.com